ProofPitchBlog
Plain-language guides on probability, football markets and how to read a forecast.
Latest guideEPL football predictions: how to read a Premier League roundSee how an EPL prediction model reads form, goals and home advantage, turns them into probabilities, and checks each Premier League round.
How to bet on football: a beginner's guide to odds and stakesLearn how decimal odds, stakes, singles and accumulators work, calculate a simple football betslip, and set limits before you start.
Correct score predictions: how likely is any exact score?See how a football model spreads probability across exact scores, why the top score is often below 15%, and how to read the market.
Betting tips vs probabilities: what a tip leaves outLearn what football betting tips leave out, how probability connects to price, and why hit rate alone cannot validate a forecast.
Best football prediction sites: a verification checklistLearn how to assess football prediction sites using timestamps, complete records, sample size, calibration and honest commercial disclosures.
Both teams to score (BTTS / GG / Goal-Goal): what it meansUnderstand BTTS and GG, how Yes/No bets settle, how to estimate the probability, and how double chance combinations change the winning conditions.
Double Chance Meaning: 1X, X2 & 12 ExplainedDouble chance meaning in football betting: what 1X, X2 and 12 cover, how to get their probabilities and fair odds from 1X2 prices, and how DNB differs.
Football prediction app: how to choose one you can verifyChoose a football prediction app by checking its pre-match record, live and retrospective results, pricing and limits. Includes Android and iPhone PWA steps.
Mathematical Prediction in Football: How It WorksSee how mathematical football prediction turns goal rates into probabilities, calculated prices and a public record you can check before kick-off.
Double Chance & Both Teams to Score: Meaning & ExamplesUnderstand double chance and both teams to score with 1X, X2 and 12 examples, BTTS Yes/No differences and clear payout calculations.
First-Half Draw No Bet: Meaning, Refunds & ExamplesLearn first-half draw no bet with half-time score examples, payout calculations, refund rules and a clear comparison with full-time DNB.
Draw No Bet vs Double Chance: Difference & ExamplesCompare draw no bet and double chance with clear payout examples, 1X/X2/12 meanings, refund rules and probability explanations.